MarketNerve

What is Shares?

A prediction-market share is a contract that pays exactly $1 if the outcome happens and $0 if it doesn't. The price in cents equals the market's implied probability. Buy cheap and you earn the gap up to $1.

Example

You buy "Yes" at 64¢. If the event happens the share becomes $1 (profit +36¢); if not, it's worth $0.

Open MarketNerve

More terms

Full glossary

Educational material by MarketNerve — not financial advice.